Just to let you know that I actually dreamt he would run 9.58 the night before I posted my prediction on this site!

And my dream came true!!!

Below are the figures I managed to find on the Berlin splits (http://www.sportsscientists.com/2009/08/usain-bolt-958s.html) against my prediction:

Usain Bolt:
Beijing Berlin My guess

React 0.165 0.146

0-10m 1.85 1.89 1.84 (reaction was what I expected, but pick up was 0.05 slower than I predicted, not great, especially as he ran 1.85 in Beijing)

10-20m 1.02 0.99 1.01 (0.02 faster, starting to clear the deficit from 0-10m – first man to break 1.00 for 10-20m!)

20-30m 0.91 0.90 0.91 (0.01 faster)

30-40m 0.87 0.86 0.86 (spot on)

40-50m 0.85 0.83 0.84 (0.01 faster)

50-60m 0.82 0.82 0.82 (spot on – overall 0.03 slower than expected at this point

60-70m 0.82 0.81 0.82 (0.01 faster – fastest 10m split in 100m history!)

70-80m 0.82 0.82 0.82 (spot-on)

80-90m 0.83 0.83 0.82 (0.01 slower)

90-100m 0.90 0.83 0.84 (0.01 faster)

Time 9.69 9.58 9.58

If you add the fastest splits from both races, you get 9.54.

If he works more on his start and pick-up over the first 30m, and Usain runs through the line, he’ll could be the first man under 9.50.

“Next week in Berlin, if conditions are perfect, he’ll run 9.58 – I’m sure of it”

Who the hell are you!!! Amazing prediction… havent seen the 10 m split yet but what made you so sure he could do it. I never imagined that he could really have gotten his start fixed up so well and so quickly because all season at the various meets his start was horrible.

I’m so happy i lived in this era to witness this, Bolt to the flippin world!

BTW he can go faster!

His 19.59 in pouring rain makes me wonder how fast he can run the 200 with some quality workouts and ideal conditions.

Considering his slow reaction time, and relatively slow pick-up to 20m compared to previous 100m WR holders, and the fact that he started to celebrate at 7.9 seconds (about 18 metres from the line), he could easily shave off 0.1.

And this was after running three sub 10 seconds in the previous day and a half – if he was ‘fresh’, 9.59 would the slowest he would run – with a 1.9 or 2.0 wind behind him – and now he’s a year stronger – he could run a ‘fresh’ 9.52 or 9.53.

If he runs a 200m ‘fresh’, having improved his 100m time by over 0.1, he’ll could knock a minimum of 0.15 from his 200m time, therefore running 19.15 as the slowest estimate.

Next week in Berlin, if conditions are perfect, he’ll run 9.58 – I’m sure of it, and he’ll run it as follows:

1.84 0-10m
1.01 10-20m
0.91 20-30m
0.86 30-40m
0.84 40-50m
0.82 50-60m (60m time will be 6.28)
0.82 60-70m
0.82 70-80m
0.82 80-90m
0.84 90-100m

9.58 seconds

Just watch!!!

The next spot would be the 10 to 20 meter segment.